他精确算出视频网站该盈利的年份，却没有亲自做成YouTube

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原话 · 已逐字校验

First of all, 10 years is important because to build an important company, unfortunately, you can't do it in two or three years. It does take 10 years.

首先，十年这个尺度很重要，因为想做成一家重要的公司，遗憾的是你没法在两三年内做到，确实需要十年。

Kevin Ryan4:06

The reason there was no video in 2003 is because it costs about $10 per thousand to serve content and you could get about a dollar in advertising. So that model doesn't work.

2003年之所以没有视频网站，是因为每提供一千次内容大约要花10美元，而广告只能赚到大约1美元，这个模型根本跑不通。

Kevin Ryan13:33

i said we have a falling knife here and so we went out and we only got 250 million dollars sacks came in and paid for it and three years later they said i'll sell back to you for five million so better late than never

我说，这是一把正在下落的刀。于是我们出去卖，只卖到了2.5亿美元，Saks出手买下了它，三年后他们说愿意以500万美元卖回给我们——迟做总比不做好。

Kevin Ryan20:40

the guy i was talking to was very nice smart traditional media guy and he said no because we're going to wait for the next internet

跟我谈的那个人是个很不错、很聪明的传统媒体人，他拒绝的理由是——我们要等下一个互联网出现。

Kevin Ryan23:47

I recognize it because I start with a business crush, meaning there's an idea and I can't stop thinking about it.

我能认出这种感觉，因为我会先「对一门生意犯花痴」——有个点子，我停不下来一直想它。

Kevin Ryan39:19

It was at a $20 million valuation three years ago. They just raised, it was announced publicly, from Sequoia at $6 billion. And they have been crushing it.

三年前那轮估值是两千万美元。他们刚完成的一轮融资已经公开宣布，由Sequoia领投，估值六十亿美元。他们一直在狂飙。

Kevin Ryan42:21

you can take meth alone once a week in our trials. You actually can't take MDMA once a week. It's a little bit more toxic. It depletes your serotonin a little bit more.

在我们的试验里，Methylone可以做到每周服用一次。MDMA其实做不到每周一次，它毒性稍强一些，对血清素的耗竭也更明显一些。

Kevin Ryan55:51

a database is like a pacemaker. If I said to you, I've got this startup pacemaker idea. Do you want to try it? And you're like, no. No. Call me when a thousand people have used your pacemaker for two years.

数据库就像起搏器。如果我跟你说，我有个初创公司做的起搏器，你要不要试试？你会说不，不，等一千个人已经用了两年再来找我。

Kevin Ryan1:13:24

数字与实体

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second-order thinking二阶思维

不只问一个趋势本身会怎样，还要追问它会带来什么下游连锁效应。

public benefit corporation公益公司(PBC)

公司章程里承诺，将部分收益捐给和使命相关的公共事业。

QSBS合格小企业股票免税

美国税法优惠，创始人持有满一定年限的初创公司股票，增值部分可享定额免税。

MethyloneMethylone

一种MDMA类似物，被认为耐受性更好、更适合按周期开发为处方药。

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