他精確算出視頻網站該盈利的年份，卻沒有親自做成YouTube

核心論點 · 點時間戳可跳到原聲

原話 · 已逐字校驗

First of all, 10 years is important because to build an important company, unfortunately, you can't do it in two or three years. It does take 10 years.

首先，十年這個尺度很重要，因為想做成一家重要的公司，遺憾的是你沒法在兩三年內做到，確實需要十年。

Kevin Ryan4:06

The reason there was no video in 2003 is because it costs about $10 per thousand to serve content and you could get about a dollar in advertising. So that model doesn't work.

2003年之所以沒有視頻網站，是因為每提供一千次內容大約要花10美元，而廣告只能賺到大約1美元，這個模型根本跑不通。

Kevin Ryan13:33

i said we have a falling knife here and so we went out and we only got 250 million dollars sacks came in and paid for it and three years later they said i'll sell back to you for five million so better late than never

我說，這是一把正在下落的刀。於是我們出去賣，只賣到了2.5億美元，Saks出手買下了它，三年後他們說願意以500萬美元賣回給我們——遲做總比不做好。

Kevin Ryan20:40

the guy i was talking to was very nice smart traditional media guy and he said no because we're going to wait for the next internet

跟我談的那個人是個很不錯、很聰明的傳統媒體人，他拒絕的理由是——我們要等下一個互聯網出現。

Kevin Ryan23:47

I recognize it because I start with a business crush, meaning there's an idea and I can't stop thinking about it.

我能認出這種感覺，因為我會先「對一門生意犯花痴」——有個點子，我停不下來一直想它。

Kevin Ryan39:19

It was at a $20 million valuation three years ago. They just raised, it was announced publicly, from Sequoia at $6 billion. And they have been crushing it.

三年前那輪估值是兩千萬美元。他們剛完成的一輪融資已經公開宣布，由Sequoia領投，估值六十億美元。他們一直在狂飆。

Kevin Ryan42:21

you can take meth alone once a week in our trials. You actually can't take MDMA once a week. It's a little bit more toxic. It depletes your serotonin a little bit more.

在我們的試驗裡，Methylone可以做到每週服用一次。MDMA其實做不到每週一次，它毒性稍強一些，對血清素的耗竭也更明顯一些。

Kevin Ryan55:51

a database is like a pacemaker. If I said to you, I've got this startup pacemaker idea. Do you want to try it? And you're like, no. No. Call me when a thousand people have used your pacemaker for two years.

數據庫就像起搏器。如果我跟你說，我有個初創公司做的起搏器，你要不要試試？你會說不，不，等一千個人已經用了兩年再來找我。

Kevin Ryan1:13:24

數字與實體

術語

second-order thinking二階思維

不只問一個趨勢本身會怎樣，還要追問它會帶來什麼下游連鎖效應。

public benefit corporation公益公司(PBC)

公司章程裡承諾，將部分收益捐給和使命相關的公共事業。

QSBS合格小企業股票免稅

美國稅法優惠，創始人持有滿一定年限的初創公司股票，增值部分可享定額免稅。

MethyloneMethylone

一種MDMA類似物，被認為耐受性更好、更適合按週期開發為處方藥。

收聽指南